iPath Copper Total Return ETN (JJC)

This fund, quite simply, follows the price of copper on a one to one basis. I have been following this fund for a while, and it is now on my radar screen as a potential long candidate due to its recent strength. The blog HeadlineCharts also picked up on copper's strength a few weeks back.

Here is a daily chart of the fund:


As the above chart shows, JJC is now trading above its 50 day moving average, which is one of the first stages towards a full fledged uptrend. For me to go long a stock, I would prefer for the 50dma to cross the 200dma.

A crossing of these two moving averages is a relatively arbitrary event, and it does not "cause" a stock to rise. It is, however, a sign that a stock has entered an uptrend.

Another aspect that caught my attention was the two recent spikes in volume. This fund normally trades about 30,000 shares a day, but today over a quarter of a million shares traded hands.

Finally, another development in regards to this fund is its recent strength even against other commodities, as measured by the CRB commodity index:


Not only is this fund rising, it is rising faster than most other commodities. If I am going to go long a commodity, it might as well be the one that is performing the strongest.